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BCSWINGBC
Langley Township—Fraser Heights
T
Tako Van Popta
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative44%±6%·73% win
Liberal40%±6%·28% win
NDP11%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Avg 2BR rent
$2052/mo
#38 of 343top 25%
Median income
$58,750
Renters
17.2%
Under 35
12.7%
Top industry
Public sector · 25.1%
Area
211 km²
GE45 result
Margin
8.5%
Competitive
91.5/100
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#82
Median income
$58,750
top 25%#38
Avg 2BR rent
$2052/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T298
Unemployment
6.6%
bottom 25%#107
Shelter stressed
23.3%
#305
Renters
17.2%
bottom 25%Age distribution
Under 35
12.7%#253
35–64
62.9%
65+
24.4%#T245
Housing tenure
Renters
17.2%#305
Owners
82.7%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
4.9%#T301
High school
25.7%#134
College/trades
33.0%#199
Bachelor's
24.1%#119
Postgrad
12.3%#119
People & Economy
#288
French knowledge
4.7%
bottom 25%#109
Immigrants
29.8%
#135
Recent arrivals
4.0%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#89
Visible minority
37.5%
#156
Indigenous
3.2%
#T299
Govt. transfers
8.4%
bottom 25%#65
Self-employed
17.9%
top 25%Industry of employment
Public sector25.1%
Trades & transport18.0%
Finance & prof12.1%
Manufacturing6.9%
Resources2.0%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 31.5 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 0 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 104.3 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$3.4M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$5.8M/yr
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