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BCSWINGBC
Delta
J
Jill McKnight
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal50%±6%·>99% win
Conservative34%±5%·<1% win
NDP11%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Avg 2BR rent
$1931/mo
#62 of 343top 25%
Median income
$55,550
Renters
23.8%
Under 35
10.1%
Top industry
Public sector · 23.5%
Area
412 km²
GE45 result
Margin
8.6%
Competitive
91.4/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare31.7% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#115
Median income
$55,550
#T62
Avg 2BR rent
$1931/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T277
Unemployment
7.4%
bottom 25%#136
Shelter stressed
21.6%
#229
Renters
23.8%
Age distribution
Under 35
10.1%#T312
35–64
58.2%
65+
31.7%#95
Housing tenure
Renters
23.8%#229
Owners
76.2%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
7.6%#T236
High school
27.8%#T100
College/trades
31.4%#217
Bachelor's
21.7%#138
Postgrad
11.5%#T133
People & Economy
#230
French knowledge
6.2%
#83
Immigrants
33.9%
top 25%#136
Recent arrivals
4.0%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#57
Visible minority
46.7%
top 25%#160
Indigenous
3.0%
#T244
Govt. transfers
10.4%
#96
Self-employed
16.4%
Industry of employment
Public sector23.5%
Trades & transport21.8%
Finance & prof12.5%
Manufacturing6.8%
Resources1.6%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
Very highIndex: 63.4 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
ModerateIndex: 14 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 104.3 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$6.2M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$6.1M/yr
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