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BCSWINGBC
Okanagan Lake West—South Kelowna
D
Dan Albas
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative44%±5%·65% win
Liberal41%±6%·35% win
NDP11%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Self-employed
22.3%
#12 of 343top 5%
Median income
$57,900
Renters
22.2%
Under 35
12.8%
Top industry
Public sector · 25.9%
Area
2,064 km²
GE45 result
Margin
6.7%
Competitive
93.3/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare34.3% aged 65+
Climate & wildfire riskWildfire index 773 (Canada avg 100)
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#90
Median income
$57,900
#70
Avg 2BR rent
$1902/mo
top 25%2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T266
Unemployment
7.9%
bottom 25%#109
Shelter stressed
23.2%
#249
Renters
22.2%
Age distribution
Under 35
12.8%#250
35–64
53.0%
65+
34.3%#52
Housing tenure
Renters
22.2%#249
Owners
77.6%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
6.3%#267
High school
26.3%#129
College/trades
39.3%#108
Bachelor's
18.4%#178
Postgrad
9.7%#T160
People & Economy
#192
French knowledge
7.3%
#192
Immigrants
13.7%
#T234
Recent arrivals
1.4%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#225
Visible minority
8.2%
#85
Indigenous
5.9%
top 25%#T217
Govt. transfers
11.3%
#12
Self-employed
22.3%
top 5%Industry of employment
Public sector25.9%
Trades & transport18.1%
Finance & prof12.3%
Manufacturing5.0%
Resources3.6%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 29.6 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
ExtremeIndex: 773 (avg = 100)
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 104.3 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$0.7M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$2.3M/yr
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