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ABSAFEPrairies
Ponoka—Didsbury
B
Blaine Calkins
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Conservative77%±6%·>99% win
NDP13%±4%·<1% win
Liberal5%±5%·<1% win
People's3%±3%·<1% win
Green2%±3%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Resource sector
17.4%
#12 of 343top 5%
Median income
$53,800
Renters
22.6%
Under 35
16.9%
Top industry
Public sector · 22.9%
Area
9,688 km²
GE45 result
Margin
71.0%
Competitive
29.0/100
Key issues
Energy & natural resources17.4% resource sector
Seniors & healthcare27.7% aged 65+
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#T144
Median income
$53,800
#T203
Avg 2BR rent
$1400/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T125
Unemployment
11.1%
#178
Shelter stressed
19.2%
#243
Renters
22.6%
Age distribution
Under 35
16.9%#115
35–64
55.4%
65+
27.7%#177
Housing tenure
Renters
22.6%#243
Owners
77.5%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
11.6%#115
High school
30.6%#52
College/trades
42.7%#51
Bachelor's
11.6%#295
Postgrad
3.5%#327
People & Economy
#T322
French knowledge
3.9%
bottom 10%#249
Immigrants
8.0%
#237
Recent arrivals
1.3%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#T263
Visible minority
5.6%
bottom 25%#80
Indigenous
6.2%
top 25%#T198
Govt. transfers
11.8%
#20
Self-employed
21.7%
top 10%Industry of employment
Trades & transport23.3%#36
Public sector22.9%#T256
Resources17.4%#12
Finance & prof7.2%#271
Manufacturing5.5%#T240
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
LowIndex: 11.6 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
LowIndex: 0 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$8.7M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$0.8M/yr
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