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BCSWINGBC
Skeena—Bulkley Valley
E
Ellis Ross
Conservative
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
NDP44%±6%·72% win
Conservative40%±5%·28% win
Liberal10%±6%·<1% win
Green4%±4%·<1% win
People's2%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Resource sector
9.3%
#45 of 343top 25%
Median income
$51,900
Renters
23.6%
Under 35
16.8%
Top industry
Public sector · 29.6%
Area
374,681 km²
GE45 result
Margin
7.9%
Competitive
92.1/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare27.6% aged 65+
Climate & wildfire riskWildfire index 364 (Canada avg 100)
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#175
Median income
$51,900
#251
Avg 2BR rent
$1245/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#T176
Unemployment
10.0%
#296
Shelter stressed
12.8%
bottom 25%#232
Renters
23.6%
Age distribution
Under 35
16.8%#119
35–64
55.6%
65+
27.6%#179
Housing tenure
Renters
23.6%#232
Owners
69.2%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
16.2%#43
High school
32.4%#24
College/trades
34.1%#185
Bachelor's
11.5%#300
Postgrad
5.8%#248
People & Economy
#T277
French knowledge
5.0%
bottom 25%#235
Immigrants
9.6%
#249
Recent arrivals
1.2%
Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#245
Visible minority
6.4%
#9
Indigenous
33.8%
top 5%#T148
Govt. transfers
13.8%
#176
Self-employed
13.5%
Industry of employment
Public sector29.6%
Trades & transport25.2%
Resources9.3%
Manufacturing7.4%
Finance & prof6.0%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 30.6 / 100
Wildfire riskⓘHectares burned per km² of riding area, 2015–2024 (NRCan NFDB). Categories: Low < 10 · Moderate 10–50 · High 50–200 · Extreme 200+.
ExtremeIndex: 364 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$22.5M/yr
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