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ONSAFEOntario
Scarborough North
S

Shaun Chen
Liberal
Civic Tools
A federal riding is one of 343 geographic electoral districts in Canada. Each elects one Member of Parliament to the House of Commons.
Projected vote share — current polls
Liberal66%±6%·>99% win
Conservative24%±5%·<1% win
NDP6%±6%·<1% win
Green3%±3%·<1% win
People's1%±2%·<1% win
Bloc Québécois0%±0%·<1% win
Bar = est. vote share (shading = p10–p90 range) · 2,000 simulations
Riding snapshot
Unemployment
17.0%
#11 of 343top 5%
Median income
$38,680
Renters
22.4%
Under 35
9.3%
Top industry
Retail & service · 20.7%
Area
36 km²
GE45 result
Margin
29.9%
Competitive
70.1/100
Key issues
Seniors & healthcare32.5% aged 65+
Immigration & settlement64.0% immigrants
Employment17.0% unemployment
Demographics · 2021 Census
Key Stats
#342
Median income
$38,680
bottom 5%#133
Avg 2BR rent
$1602/mo
2021 census variation scaled to CMHC Fall 2025
#11
Unemployment
17.0%
top 5%#T38
Shelter stressed
29.5%
top 25%#245
Renters
22.4%
Age distribution
Under 35
9.3%#330
35–64
58.1%
65+
32.5%#78
Housing tenure
Renters
22.4%#245
Owners
77.5%
Education attainment (ages 25–64)
No diploma
16.6%#37
High school
26.1%#T130
College/trades
25.6%#291
Bachelor's
22.6%#130
Postgrad
9.1%#T173
People & Economy
#T322
French knowledge
3.9%
bottom 10%#1
Immigrants
64.0%
top 5%#70
Recent arrivals
6.2%
top 25%Immigrants arrived 2016–21
#2
Visible minority
91.7%
top 5%#326
Indigenous
0.4%
bottom 5%#40
Govt. transfers
18.1%
top 25%#T208
Self-employed
12.5%
Industry of employment
Public sector19.9%
Finance & prof15.6%
Trades & transport15.2%
Manufacturing12.1%
Resources0.3%
Infrastructure & environment
Flood riskⓘMean NRCan flood susceptibility index score for the riding (scale 0–100). Categories: Low < 20 · Moderate 20–35 · High 35–50 · Very High 50+.
ModerateIndex: 27.1 / 100
Crime severityⓘStatsCan Crime Severity Index for the riding's CMA, rescaled so Canada's national average = 100. Categories: Below average < 80 · Average 80–110 · Elevated 110–140 · High severity 140+.
AverageIndex: 81.1 (avg = 100)
Federal Spending
Avg federal spending
$4.3M/yr
Avg CCBF allocation
$7.3M/yr
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