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Regina and South CentralSafeUrban

Regina Pasqua

MLA: Bhajan Brar · Saskatchewan NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 30, 2028.

Saskatchewan NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Saskatchewan NDP · 58.3% projected vote>99%
  • Saskatchewan Party · 36.6% projected vote<1%

2024 result

  • Bhajan Brar · Saskatchewan NDPelected3,81452.4%
  • Muhammad Fiaz · Saskatchewan Party2,80938.5%
  • Justin Parnell · Progressive Conservative4416.0%
  • Ekaterina Cabylis · Green1321.8%
  • Shannon Chapple · Buffalo901.2%
Margin
13.8%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
61.7%
Registered
11,811

2020 result, moved onto today's map

Fought on the old map. NorthernVibe moved this result onto today's boundaries, polling division by polling division, so it is an estimate of how this constituency voted, not a count. It is here for comparison; the projection starts from 2024.

  • Saskatchewan Party2,70448.9%
  • Saskatchewan NDP2,47344.7%
  • Progressive Conservative2033.7%
  • Green1542.8%

Constituency at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Saskatchewan's provincial constituencies, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 61 constituencies.

Median household income
$98,50012 of 61
Average rent
$1,5852 of 61
Renters
40.0%11 of 61
Bachelor's or higher
43.4%2 of 61
Median age
33.557 of 61
Over 65
11.5%55 of 61
Visible minority
47.1%1 of 61
Immigrants
35.2%1 of 61
Indigenous identity
4.2%60 of 61
Unemployment
8.3%27 of 61

Closest races, Regina and South Central

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Saskatchewan. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into constituencies by NorthernVibe.