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Regina and South CentralSafeUrban

Regina Rochdale

MLA: Joan Pratchler · Saskatchewan NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 30, 2028.

Saskatchewan NDP97% chance of winning

  • Saskatchewan NDP · 55.3% projected vote97%
  • Saskatchewan Party · 40.0% projected vote3%

2024 result

  • Joan Pratchler · Saskatchewan NDPelected5,04653.4%
  • Laura Ross · Saskatchewan Party4,23044.8%
  • Irene Browatzke · Green1671.8%
Margin
8.6%
Tier
Swing
Turnout
66.5%
Registered
14,211

2020 result, moved onto today's map

Fought on the old map. NorthernVibe moved this result onto today's boundaries, polling division by polling division, so it is an estimate of how this constituency voted, not a count. It is here for comparison; the projection starts from 2024.

  • Saskatchewan Party4,85355.1%
  • Saskatchewan NDP3,54540.2%
  • Progressive Conservative2502.8%
  • Green1601.8%

Constituency at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Saskatchewan's provincial constituencies, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 61 constituencies.

Median household income
$117,0003 of 61
Average rent
$1,3139 of 61
Renters
20.7%33 of 61
Bachelor's or higher
26.9%16 of 61
Median age
37.740 of 61
Over 65
12.4%49 of 61
Visible minority
17.9%21 of 61
Immigrants
14.8%22 of 61
Indigenous identity
7.0%46 of 61
Unemployment
6.6%40 of 61

Closest races, Regina and South Central

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Saskatchewan. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into constituencies by NorthernVibe.