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Regina and South CentralLeanRural

White City-Qu'Appelle

MLA: Brad Crassweller · Saskatchewan Party

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 30, 2028.

Saskatchewan Party90% chance of winning

  • Saskatchewan Party · 51.4% projected vote90%
  • Saskatchewan NDP · 41.4% projected vote10%

2024 result

  • Brad Crassweller · Saskatchewan Partyelected5,29855.8%
  • Grady Birns · Saskatchewan NDP3,59337.8%
  • Darcy Thiele · Sask United6116.4%
Margin
17.9%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
65.4%
Registered
14,523

2020 result, moved onto today's map

Fought on the old map. NorthernVibe moved this result onto today's boundaries, polling division by polling division, so it is an estimate of how this constituency voted, not a count. It is here for comparison; the projection starts from 2024.

  • Saskatchewan Party5,55966.7%
  • Saskatchewan NDP2,36828.4%
  • Green1541.9%
  • Progressive Conservative1521.8%
  • Independent971.2%

Constituency at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Saskatchewan's provincial constituencies, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 61 constituencies.

Median household income
$114,0004 of 61
Average rent
$1,12823 of 61
Renters
9.6%60 of 61
Bachelor's or higher
19.5%23 of 61
Median age
38.835 of 61
Over 65
14.8%44 of 61
Visible minority
3.2%50 of 61
Immigrants
4.4%51 of 61
Indigenous identity
15.7%21 of 61
Unemployment
5.7%51 of 61

Closest races, Regina and South Central

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Saskatchewan. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into constituencies by NorthernVibe.