Warman
MLA: Terry Jenson · Saskatchewan Party
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 30, 2028.
Saskatchewan Party>99% chance of winning
- Saskatchewan Party · 62.4% projected vote>99%
2024 result
- Terry Jenson · Saskatchewan Partyelected5,92765.6%
- Erica Baerwald · Saskatchewan NDP2,28625.3%
- Andrea Early · Sask United6507.2%
- Mark Friesen · Buffalo1251.4%
- Adriana Hackl Pinno · Green520.6%
- Margin
- 40.3%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 63.9%
- Registered
- 14,158
2020 result, moved onto today's map
Fought on the old map. NorthernVibe moved this result onto today's boundaries, polling division by polling division, so it is an estimate of how this constituency voted, not a count. It is here for comparison; the projection starts from 2024.
- Saskatchewan Party5,97376.7%
- Saskatchewan NDP1,15014.8%
- Buffalo5346.8%
- Green1331.7%
Constituency at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Saskatchewan's provincial constituencies, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 61 constituencies.
- Median household income
- $112,0005 of 61
- Average rent
- $1,3298 of 61
- Renters
- 12.4%54 of 61
- Bachelor's or higher
- 16.4%32 of 61
- Median age
- 35.351 of 61
- Over 65
- 11.6%54 of 61
- Visible minority
- 3.5%48 of 61
- Immigrants
- 5.5%46 of 61
- Indigenous identity
- 8.7%37 of 61
- Unemployment
- 4.3%59 of 61
Closest races, Northeast and North Central
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results and boundaries: Elections Saskatchewan. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into constituencies by NorthernVibe.