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CentralToss-upRural
Airdrie-Cochrane
MLA: Peter Guthrie · Progressive Tory
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.
United Conservative45% chance of winning
- United Conservative · 35.8% projected vote45%
- Alberta NDP · 38.3% projected vote44%
- Progressive Tory · 20.0% projected vote11%
2023 result
- Peter Guthrie · United Conservativeelected18,07460.1%
- Shaun Fluker · Alberta NDP11,22337.3%
- Michelle Overwater Giles · Green3931.3%
- Michael Andrusco · Other1990.7%
- Ron Voss · Other1830.6%
- Margin
- 22.8%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 66.0%
- Registered
- 45,540
2019 result
- Peter Guthrie · United Conservativeelected18,77766.0%
- Steve Durrell · Alberta NDP7,18325.2%
- Vern Raincock · Progressive Tory1,8186.4%
- Danielle Cameron · Other3451.2%
- Matthew Joseph Morrisey · Other3311.2%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.
- Median household income
- $119,00010 of 87
- Average rent
- $1,63012 of 87
- Renters
- 15.6%80 of 87
- Bachelor's or higher
- 27.8%31 of 87
- Median age
- 38.052 of 87
- Over 65
- 13.3%58 of 87
- Visible minority
- 16.6%51 of 87
- Immigrants
- 17.5%51 of 87
- Indigenous identity
- 4.2%55 of 87
- Unemployment
- 10.1%65 of 87
Closest races, Central
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.