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Red Deer-North

MLA: Adriana LaGrange · United Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

United Conservative91% chance of winning

  • United Conservative · 48.6% projected vote91%
  • Alberta NDP · 38.4% projected vote9%

2023 result

  • Adriana LaGrange · United Conservativeelected10,62957.5%
  • Jaelene Tweedle · Alberta NDP7,14438.6%
  • Vicky Bayford · Other2811.5%
  • Heather Morigeau · Green2571.4%
  • Kallie Dyck · Other1831.0%
Margin
18.8%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
55.4%
Registered
33,382

2019 result

  • Adriana Lagrange · United Conservativeelected12,73960.6%
  • Kim Schreiner · Alberta NDP4,87323.2%
  • Paul Hardy · Progressive Tory2,76913.2%
  • Matt Chapin · Other3891.9%
  • Michael Neufeld · Other2481.2%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$79,00075 of 87
Average rent
$1,15772 of 87
Renters
38.0%14 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
14.8%59 of 87
Median age
38.054 of 87
Over 65
14.4%49 of 87
Visible minority
22.4%46 of 87
Immigrants
19.2%47 of 87
Indigenous identity
7.6%23 of 87
Unemployment
13.7%14 of 87

Closest races, Central

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.