Banff-Kananaskis
MLA: Sarah Elmeligi · Alberta NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.
Alberta NDP89% chance of winning
- Alberta NDP · 50.3% projected vote89%
- United Conservative · 41.2% projected vote11%
2023 result
- Sarah Elmeligi · Alberta NDPelected11,56249.7%
- Miranda Rosin · United Conservative11,25948.4%
- Regan Boychuk · Green3361.4%
- Kyle Jubb · Other1050.5%
- Margin
- 1.3%
- Tier
- Toss-up
- Turnout
- 68.5%
- Registered
- 33,971
2019 result
- Miranda Rosin · United Conservativeelected10,85951.3%
- Cameron (Cam) Westhead · Alberta NDP8,89042.0%
- Brenda Stanton · Progressive Tory9414.5%
- Gwyneth Midgley · Liberal2281.1%
- Anita Crowshoe · Other1540.7%
- Dave Phillips · Independent800.4%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.
- Median household income
- $116,00013 of 87
- Average rent
- $1,6488 of 87
- Renters
- 28.1%29 of 87
- Bachelor's or higher
- 40.4%13 of 87
- Median age
- 44.09 of 87
- Over 65
- 17.1%29 of 87
- Visible minority
- 13.1%59 of 87
- Immigrants
- 19.9%46 of 87
- Indigenous identity
- 2.8%77 of 87
- Unemployment
- 10.6%60 of 87
Statistics Canada did not complete the 2021 count on reserves in this division (Stoney No. 142, 143, 144; Stoney No. 142B; Tsuu T'ina Nation No. 145), so its population and Indigenous share are undercounts.
Closest races, Central
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.