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CentralLeanUrban
Red Deer-South
MLA: Jason Stephan · United Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.
United Conservative79% chance of winning
- United Conservative · 47.3% projected vote79%
- Alberta NDP · 41.1% projected vote21%
2023 result
- Jason Stephan · United Conservativeelected13,46956.1%
- Michelle Baer · Alberta NDP9,97641.5%
- Ashley MacDonald · Green2741.1%
- Jesse Stretch · Other1600.7%
- Pamela Liebenberg · Other1460.6%
- Margin
- 14.5%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 62.1%
- Registered
- 38,696
2019 result
- Jason Stephan · United Conservativeelected16,15960.3%
- Barb Miller · Alberta NDP6,84425.5%
- Ryan McDougall · Progressive Tory3,24412.1%
- Teah-Jay Cartwright · Other2991.1%
- Lori Curran · Green2460.9%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.
- Median household income
- $90,00055 of 87
- Average rent
- $1,26657 of 87
- Renters
- 32.7%23 of 87
- Bachelor's or higher
- 20.2%49 of 87
- Median age
- 39.047 of 87
- Over 65
- 15.7%40 of 87
- Visible minority
- 15.7%54 of 87
- Immigrants
- 14.8%56 of 87
- Indigenous identity
- 5.7%41 of 87
- Unemployment
- 11.1%47 of 87
Closest races, Central
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.