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Central NorthLeanRural
Leduc-Beaumont
MLA: Brandon Lunty · United Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.
United Conservative87% chance of winning
- United Conservative · 50.1% projected vote87%
- Alberta NDP · 41.7% projected vote13%
2023 result
- Brandon Lunty · United Conservativeelected14,11856.7%
- Cam Heenan · Alberta NDP10,06940.5%
- Kirk Cayer · Independent2921.2%
- Sharon Maclise · Other2571.0%
- Bill Kaufmann · Other1440.6%
- Margin
- 16.3%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 62.4%
- Registered
- 39,857
2019 result
- Brad Rutherford · United Conservativeelected14,98258.4%
- Shaye Anderson · Alberta NDP7,25128.3%
- Robb Connelly · Progressive Tory2,2068.6%
- Gil Poitras · Other3041.2%
- Jeff Rout · Other2581.0%
- Chris Fenske · Liberal2120.8%
- Jenn Roach · Green2030.8%
- Kevin Dunn · Other1650.6%
- Sharon Maclise · Independent710.3%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.
- Median household income
- $111,00023 of 87
- Average rent
- $1,49822 of 87
- Renters
- 21.8%53 of 87
- Bachelor's or higher
- 16.6%56 of 87
- Median age
- 36.070 of 87
- Over 65
- 12.4%66 of 87
- Visible minority
- 14.7%56 of 87
- Immigrants
- 13.1%60 of 87
- Indigenous identity
- 6.2%37 of 87
- Unemployment
- 10.6%58 of 87
Closest races, Central North
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.