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Central NorthToss-upRural
Strathcona-Sherwood Park
MLA: Nate Glubish · United Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.
United Conservative52% chance of winning
- United Conservative · 44.0% projected vote52%
- Alberta NDP · 43.6% projected vote48%
2023 result
- Nate Glubish · United Conservativeelected13,86553.1%
- Bill Tonita · Alberta NDP11,64644.6%
- Jody Balanko · Independent6142.4%
- Margin
- 8.5%
- Tier
- Swing
- Turnout
- 69.5%
- Registered
- 37,569
2019 result
- Nate Glubish · United Conservativeelected14,15152.5%
- Moira Váně · Alberta NDP8,69532.3%
- Dave Quest · Progressive Tory3,60513.4%
- Don Melanson · Other1470.6%
- Albert Aris · Green1420.5%
- Richard Scinta · Other1410.5%
- Larry Maclise · Independent670.3%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.
- Median household income
- $138,0003 of 87
- Average rent
- $1,6449 of 87
- Renters
- 7.5%87 of 87
- Bachelor's or higher
- 21.8%45 of 87
- Median age
- 42.023 of 87
- Over 65
- 14.4%48 of 87
- Visible minority
- 8.9%64 of 87
- Immigrants
- 9.6%67 of 87
- Indigenous identity
- 4.3%53 of 87
- Unemployment
- 9.1%78 of 87
Closest races, Central North
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.