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Central NorthToss-upRural
Morinville-St. Albert
MLA: Dale Nally · United Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.
Alberta NDP56% chance of winning
- Alberta NDP · 45.7% projected vote56%
- United Conservative · 44.6% projected vote44%
2023 result
- Dale Nally · United Conservativeelected13,47251.8%
- Karen Shaw · Alberta NDP11,72845.1%
- Wayne Rufiange · Progressive Tory5902.3%
- Kurt Klingbeil · Green2300.9%
- Margin
- 6.7%
- Tier
- Swing
- Turnout
- 65.7%
- Registered
- 39,597
2019 result
- Dale Nally · United Conservativeelected13,43550.0%
- Natalie Birnie · Alberta NDP8,90833.2%
- Neil Korotash · Progressive Tory3,96314.8%
- Mike Van Velzen · Other2040.8%
- Cass Romyn · Green1980.7%
- Tamara Krywiak · Other1570.6%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.
- Median household income
- $122,0008 of 87
- Average rent
- $1,43634 of 87
- Renters
- 14.6%81 of 87
- Bachelor's or higher
- 19.8%51 of 87
- Median age
- 40.041 of 87
- Over 65
- 16.4%32 of 87
- Visible minority
- 7.2%71 of 87
- Immigrants
- 8.0%74 of 87
- Indigenous identity
- 8.0%22 of 87
- Unemployment
- 9.2%76 of 87
Closest races, Central North
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.