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Central NorthLeanRural

Spruce Grove-Stony Plain

MLA: Searle Turton · United Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

United Conservative87% chance of winning

  • United Conservative · 49.4% projected vote87%
  • Alberta NDP · 40.9% projected vote13%

2023 result

  • Searle Turton · United Conservativeelected14,36557.0%
  • Chantal Saramaga-McKenzie · Alberta NDP10,19740.5%
  • Daniel Birrell · Green4221.7%
  • Darlene Clarke · Other2230.9%
Margin
16.5%
Tier
Lean
Turnout
61.2%
Registered
41,208

2019 result

  • Searle Turton · United Conservativeelected15,84359.4%
  • Erin Babcock · Alberta NDP7,83629.4%
  • Ivan G. Boles · Progressive Tory2,5979.7%
  • Jody Crocker · Other4171.6%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$102,00033 of 87
Average rent
$1,45431 of 87
Renters
24.8%37 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
13.9%64 of 87
Median age
38.055 of 87
Over 65
15.2%44 of 87
Visible minority
8.3%66 of 87
Immigrants
8.9%71 of 87
Indigenous identity
8.6%20 of 87
Unemployment
10.7%57 of 87

Closest races, Central North

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.