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Fraser ValleySafeUrban
Abbotsford-Mission
Vacant at dissolution
Projected winner
Projection as of Oct 11, 2026. Nominations closed Oct 3, 2026.
Conservative99% chance of winning
- Conservative · Darryl Kropp99%
- BC NDP · Pam Alexis1%
- OneBC · Virender Dass
- CentreBC · Lakhwinder Jhaj
2024 result
- Reann Gasperelected13,52355.4%
- Pam Alexis10,89444.6%
- Margin
- 10.8%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 57.2%
- Registered
- 42,692
2020 result
Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.
- Pam Alexiselected7,19132.0%
- Simon Gibson6,50528.9%
- Bob D'Eith2,84112.6%
- Stephen Fowler1,8138.1%
- Chelsa Meadus1,6467.3%
- Trevor Hamilton1,3335.9%
- Matt Trenholm6012.7%
- Aeriol Alderking4001.8%
- Michael de Jong860.4%
- Preet Rai490.2%
- Michael Henshall170.1%
- Kevin Eastwood130.1%
Who actually voted
2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.
- 18-2453%
- 25-3446%
- 35-4453%
- 45-5458%
- 55-6463%
- 65-7469%
- 75+64%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.
- Median household income
- $107,0009 of 93
- Average rent
- $1,37651 of 93
- Renters
- 20.3%78 of 93
- Bachelor's or higher
- 17.7%70 of 93
- Median age
- 38.880 of 93
- Over 65
- 14.5%83 of 93
- Immigrants
- 17.3%56 of 93
- Visible minority
- 19.8%52 of 93
- Indigenous identity
- 7.1%29 of 93
- Unemployment
- 6.0%89 of 93
Closest races in Fraser Valley
The seats most likely to move with this one.