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Fraser ValleySafeUrban
Abbotsford South
Incumbent: Bruce Banman · Conservative
Projected winner
Projection as of Oct 11, 2026. Nominations closed Oct 3, 2026.
Conservative>99% chance of winning
- Conservative · Bruce Banman (incumbent)>99%
- BC NDP · Leah Ballantyne
- OneBC · Robin Roy
2024 result
- Bruce Banmanelected13,05361.6%
- Sarah Kooner7,45435.2%
- Amandeep Singh6813.2%
- Margin
- 26.4%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 51.6%
- Registered
- 41,068
2020 result
Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.
- Bruce Banmanelected5,92732.2%
- Inder Johal4,58724.9%
- Simon Gibson1,7939.7%
- Pam Alexis1,7479.5%
- Aird Flavelle1,5598.5%
- Laura-Lynn Thompson1,1186.1%
- Stephen Fowler4732.6%
- Trevor Hamilton3491.9%
- Michael de Jong3411.9%
- Preet Rai2771.5%
- Aeriol Alderking1240.7%
- Michael Henshall680.4%
- Kevin Eastwood650.3%
- Sukhi Gill40.0%
Who actually voted
2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.
- 18-2448%
- 25-3441%
- 35-4446%
- 45-5450%
- 55-6457%
- 65-7463%
- 75+61%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.
- Median household income
- $83,00055 of 93
- Average rent
- $1,34657 of 93
- Renters
- 38.0%24 of 93
- Bachelor's or higher
- 18.5%66 of 93
- Median age
- 40.064 of 93
- Over 65
- 19.8%43 of 93
- Immigrants
- 25.3%43 of 93
- Visible minority
- 33.8%39 of 93
- Indigenous identity
- 6.2%38 of 93
- Unemployment
- 8.2%53 of 93
Closest races in Fraser Valley
The seats most likely to move with this one.