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North and MiramichiSafeRural

Bathurst

MLA: René Legacy · Liberal

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Monday, October 16, 2028.

Liberal>99% chance of winning

  • Liberal · 52.8% projected vote>99%

2024 result

  • René Legacy · Liberalelected3,35756.7%
  • Kim Chamberlain · PC2,02934.3%
  • Robert Kryszko · Green3255.5%
  • Jeff Frenette · NDP2123.6%
Margin
22.4%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
59.5%
Registered
9,948

2020 result, moved onto today's map

Fought on the old map. NorthernVibe moved this result onto today's boundaries, polling division by polling division, so it is an estimate of how this district voted, not a count. It is here for comparison; the projection starts from 2024.

  • Liberal3,06951.9%
  • PC2,02134.2%
  • Green82413.9%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on New Brunswick's provincial districts, and the province's own last profiles used the 2016 census on the old map, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 49 districts.

Median household income
$57,50044 of 49
Average rent
$70435 of 49
Renters
35.3%8 of 49
Bachelor's or higher
15.7%25 of 49
Median age
52.69 of 49
Over 65
29.6%3 of 49
Speak French
68.7%16 of 49
Immigrants
3.8%29 of 49
Indigenous identity
4.1%14 of 49
Unemployment
10.8%21 of 49

Closest races, North and Miramichi

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections New Brunswick. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – New Brunswick. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.