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North and MiramichiLeanRural

Kent North

MLA: Pat Finnigan · Liberal

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Monday, October 16, 2028.

Liberal80% chance of winning

  • Liberal · 41.8% projected vote80%
  • Green · 36.5% projected vote20%

2024 result

  • Pat Finnigan · Liberalelected3,92844.8%
  • Kevin Arseneau · Green3,25137.1%
  • Carl Cosby · PC1,44116.4%
  • Carole Boudreau · People's Alliance1451.6%
Margin
7.7%
Tier
Swing
Turnout
66.8%
Registered
13,119

2020 result, moved onto today's map

Fought on the old map. NorthernVibe moved this result onto today's boundaries, polling division by polling division, so it is an estimate of how this district voted, not a count. It is here for comparison; the projection starts from 2024.

  • Green3,78542.9%
  • Liberal3,13035.5%
  • PC1,67118.9%
  • Independent1471.7%
  • People's Alliance580.7%
  • NDP350.4%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on New Brunswick's provincial districts, and the province's own last profiles used the 2016 census on the old map, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 49 districts.

Median household income
$60,00040 of 49
Average rent
$59446 of 49
Renters
17.7%35 of 49
Bachelor's or higher
8.2%48 of 49
Median age
52.610 of 49
Over 65
27.5%11 of 49
Speak French
68.2%17 of 49
Immigrants
2.1%41 of 49
Indigenous identity
21.1%1 of 49
Unemployment
17.1%2 of 49

Closest races, North and Miramichi

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections New Brunswick. Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – New Brunswick. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.