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MalpequeSafeRural

Borden-Kinkora

MLA: Matt MacFarlane · Green

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Oct 11, 2026; the next election is due by October 4, 2027.

Green>99% chance of winning

  • Green · 56.5% projected vote>99%

2024 by-election

Shown for the record. The projection starts from the 2023 general election instead; where a by-election changed the seat's party, the new member's personal vote is added to that party.

  • Matt MacFarlane · Greenelected1,22649.0%
  • Carmen Reeves · Progressive Conservative96438.5%
  • Gordon Sobey · Liberal27210.9%
  • Karen Morton · PEI NDP401.6%

2023 result

  • Jamie Fox · Progressive Conservativeelected1,71960.1%
  • Matthew MacFarlane · Green99534.8%
  • Carole MacFarlane · PEI NDP832.9%
  • Paul Smitz · Other612.1%
Margin
25.3%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
67.5%
Registered
4,233

2019 result

  • Jamie Fox · Progressive Conservativeelected1,68052.1%
  • Matthew MacFarlane · Green1,04132.3%
  • Jamie Stride · Liberal41712.9%
  • Fred McCardle · Independent541.7%
  • Joan Gauvin · PEI NDP321.0%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Prince Edward Island's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, divided by where its registered electors live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 27 districts.

Median household income
$77,86410 of 27
Average rent
$81518 of 27
Renters
14.0%20 of 27
Bachelor's or higher
15.7%18 of 27
Median age
46.210 of 27
Over 65
20.9%14 of 27
Speak French
7.8%24 of 27
Immigrants
3.7%22 of 27
Indigenous identity
0.6%27 of 27
Unemployment
9.5%17 of 27

Closest races in Malpeque

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Boundaries: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Prince Edward Island. Results: Contains information licenced under the Elections PEI Open Data Licence. Census: Statistics Canada.