Skip to main content
← Map
MalpequeSwingRural

Rustico-Emerald

MLA: Brad Trivers · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Oct 11, 2026; the next election is due by October 4, 2027.

Green62% chance of winning

  • Green · 34.6% projected vote62%
  • Progressive Conservative · 30.7% projected vote29%
  • Liberal · 27.8% projected vote9%

2023 result

  • Brad Trivers · Progressive Conservativeelected1,99062.5%
  • Ranald MacFarlane · Green55917.6%
  • Flory Sanderson · Liberal53216.7%
  • David Wilson · PEI NDP1023.2%
Margin
45.0%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
70.6%
Registered
4,511

2019 result

  • Brad Trivers · Progressive Conservativeelected1,92057.5%
  • Colin Jeffrey · Green89926.9%
  • Sandy MacKay · Liberal48914.7%
  • Sean Deagle · PEI NDP300.9%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Prince Edward Island's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, divided by where its registered electors live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 27 districts.

Median household income
$80,4538 of 27
Average rent
$94915 of 27
Renters
11.8%24 of 27
Bachelor's or higher
20.8%12 of 27
Median age
49.52 of 27
Over 65
23.4%6 of 27
Speak French
13.4%11 of 27
Immigrants
5.1%14 of 27
Indigenous identity
0.9%24 of 27
Unemployment
13.1%5 of 27

Closest races in Malpeque

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Boundaries: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Prince Edward Island. Results: Contains information licenced under the Elections PEI Open Data Licence. Census: Statistics Canada.