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MalpequeSafeRural

Cornwall-Meadowbank

MLA: Tayte Willows · Green

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Oct 11, 2026; the next election is due by October 4, 2027.

Green98% chance of winning

  • Green · 45.2% projected vote98%
  • Liberal · 30.2% projected vote2%

2026 by-election

Shown for the record. The projection starts from the 2023 general election instead; where a by-election changed the seat's party, the new member's personal vote is added to that party.

  • Tayte Willows · Greenelected1,18439.6%
  • Robert Mitchell · Liberal95532.0%
  • Caley McDonald · Progressive Conservative82327.6%
  • Craig Nash · PEI NDP240.8%

2023 result

  • Mark McLane · Progressive Conservativeelected1,75054.8%
  • Tayte Willows · Green77524.3%
  • Don Leary · Liberal61119.1%
  • Larry Hale · PEI NDP601.9%
Margin
30.5%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
68.1%
Registered
4,690

2019 result

  • Heath MacDonald · Liberalelected1,64347.9%
  • Ellen Jones · Green1,13733.1%
  • Elaine Barnes · Progressive Conservative60217.6%
  • Craig Nash · PEI NDP481.4%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Prince Edward Island's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, divided by where its registered electors live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 27 districts.

Median household income
$86,8046 of 27
Average rent
$1,2362 of 27
Renters
31.2%8 of 27
Bachelor's or higher
28.3%7 of 27
Median age
39.825 of 27
Over 65
17.6%25 of 27
Speak French
15.5%5 of 27
Immigrants
9.5%9 of 27
Indigenous identity
1.3%17 of 27
Unemployment
7.7%23 of 27

Closest races in Malpeque

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Boundaries: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Prince Edward Island. Results: Contains information licenced under the Elections PEI Open Data Licence. Census: Statistics Canada.