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Regina and South CentralSafeUrban

Regina Elphinstone-Centre

MLA: Meara Conway · Saskatchewan NDP

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 30, 2028.

Saskatchewan NDP>99% chance of winning

  • Saskatchewan NDP · 67.2% projected vote>99%

2024 result

  • Meara Conway · Saskatchewan NDPelected3,26861.1%
  • Caesar Khan · Saskatchewan Party1,41726.5%
  • Pamela Carpenter · Sask United3105.8%
  • Nathan Bruce · Progress (Liberal)1993.7%
  • Jim Elliott · Green1562.9%
Margin
34.6%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
37.8%
Registered
14,138

2020 result, moved onto today's map

Fought on the old map. NorthernVibe moved this result onto today's boundaries, polling division by polling division, so it is an estimate of how this constituency voted, not a count. It is here for comparison; the projection starts from 2024.

  • Saskatchewan NDP3,29861.3%
  • Saskatchewan Party1,61330.0%
  • Green2664.9%
  • Progressive Conservative1663.1%
  • Independent340.6%

Constituency at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Saskatchewan's provincial constituencies, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 61 constituencies.

Median household income
$59,00061 of 61
Average rent
$1,05531 of 61
Renters
51.5%1 of 61
Bachelor's or higher
15.8%34 of 61
Median age
35.848 of 61
Over 65
12.2%50 of 61
Visible minority
20.2%17 of 61
Immigrants
16.9%19 of 61
Indigenous identity
27.0%10 of 61
Unemployment
17.4%2 of 61

Closest races, Regina and South Central

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results and boundaries: Elections Saskatchewan. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into constituencies by NorthernVibe.