Skip to main content

Nov 8, 2026

The Northern Vibe🍁 Who governs, and who answers for it. Riding by riding.

Your district

Find your district, and who represents it.

Your MLA, how your district voted in 2024, and what the polls point to there now.

Who holds each district

The House today, not a forecast

The House today

Progressive Conservative majority

29 for a majority

Progressive Conservative: 43 of 56 seats. A majority is 29.

No fixed election date. The next general election is due by late 2029, five years after the last.

The Northern Vibe newsletter

Nova Scotia, in your inbox.

Our Nova Scotia coverage as the polls move, plus a profile of every federal riding, one at a time.

  • The 343A profile of every riding: the place, the people who have represented it, what decides it.
  • Field NotesLong-form analysis of what is moving, and why.
  • When things moveA note when the model shifts, new polls land or a riding flips.

Published on Substack. Free, no ads; unsubscribe in one click.

Where the polls stand

Every provincial poll since the 2024 election, each corrected for its firm's lean against the others, then averaged by recency and sample size.

PC and NDP, too close to call

The average on Nov 8, 2026: PC 35.1% · NDP 33.3% · Liberal 26.0%

The weighted average since March 2025, with the uncertainty around it. Where two bands overlap, the order of those two parties is not established.

Data sources

Elections Nova Scotia · Statistics Canada 2021 Census

About