Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul
MLA: Scott Cyr · United Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.
United Conservative>99% chance of winning
- United Conservative · 66.6% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Scott Cyr · United Conservativeelected13,31575.5%
- Caitlyn Blake · Alberta NDP4,32724.5%
- Margin
- 51.0%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 52.6%
- Registered
- 33,533
2019 result
- David Hanson · United Conservativeelected15,94373.1%
- Kari Whan · Alberta NDP3,06114.0%
- Glenn Andersen · Progressive Tory2,22310.2%
- David Garnett-Bennett · Other2171.0%
- David Inscho · Other2070.9%
- Kacey L Daniels · Independent1620.7%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.
- Median household income
- $95,00046 of 87
- Average rent
- $1,21365 of 87
- Renters
- 24.9%36 of 87
- Bachelor's or higher
- 12.7%72 of 87
- Median age
- 36.067 of 87
- Over 65
- 13.1%60 of 87
- Visible minority
- 7.4%69 of 87
- Immigrants
- 7.0%78 of 87
- Indigenous identity
- 22.1%5 of 87
- Unemployment
- 9.4%72 of 87
Statistics Canada did not complete the 2021 count on reserves in this division (Saddle Lake No. 125), so its population and Indigenous share are undercounts.
Closest races, North
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.