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NorthSafeRural

Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche

MLA: Brian Jean · United Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

United Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • United Conservative · 66.2% projected vote>99%

2023 result

  • Brian Jean · United Conservativeelected7,69273.6%
  • Calan William Simeon Hobbs · Alberta NDP2,56124.5%
  • KDM Kevin Johnston · Independent2021.9%
Margin
49.1%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
43.8%
Registered
23,889

2019 result

  • Laila Goodridge · United Conservativeelected9,83666.3%
  • Jane Stroud · Alberta NDP3,63524.5%
  • Jeff Fafard · Progressive Tory8575.8%
  • Mark Grinder · Other2711.8%
  • Brian Deheer · Green2301.6%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$132,0005 of 87
Average rent
$1,49623 of 87
Renters
32.9%22 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
14.4%62 of 87
Median age
36.068 of 87
Over 65
8.1%81 of 87
Visible minority
22.8%45 of 87
Immigrants
18.4%49 of 87
Indigenous identity
22.1%6 of 87
Unemployment
10.7%56 of 87

Closest races, North

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.