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NorthSafeUrban

Grande Prairie

MLA: Nolan Dyck · United Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

United Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • United Conservative · 57.9% projected vote>99%

2023 result

  • Nolan Dyck · United Conservativeelected10,00163.9%
  • Kevin McLean · Alberta NDP4,89031.3%
  • David Braun · Other3482.2%
  • Preston Mildenberger · Progressive Tory2421.6%
  • Shane Diederich · Green1601.0%
Margin
32.7%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
49.5%
Registered
31,589

2019 result

  • Tracy Allard · United Conservativeelected12,71363.0%
  • Todd Russell · Alberta NDP4,36121.6%
  • Grant Berg · Progressive Tory2,51612.5%
  • Bernard Hancock · Other3921.9%
  • Ray Robertson · Other1260.6%
  • Rony Rajput · Independent660.3%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$99,00039 of 87
Average rent
$1,40638 of 87
Renters
36.2%19 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
16.3%57 of 87
Median age
35.076 of 87
Over 65
10.3%75 of 87
Visible minority
16.1%53 of 87
Immigrants
13.2%59 of 87
Indigenous identity
11.2%11 of 87
Unemployment
12.3%27 of 87

Closest races, North

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.