Fort McMurray-Wood Buffalo
MLA: Tany Yao · United Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.
United Conservative>99% chance of winning
- United Conservative · 67.8% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Tany Yao · United Conservativeelected6,48367.7%
- Tanika Chaisson · Alberta NDP1,88419.7%
- Funky Banjoko · Independent6256.5%
- Zulkifl Mujahid · Independent3313.5%
- Bradley Friesen · Progressive Tory2552.7%
- Margin
- 48.0%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 41.6%
- Registered
- 23,034
2019 result
- Tany Yao · United Conservativeelected10,26971.1%
- Stephen Drover · Alberta NDP3,12921.6%
- Marcus Erlandson · Progressive Tory8045.6%
- Michael Keller · Other2491.7%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.
- Median household income
- $202,0001 of 87
- Average rent
- $1,7364 of 87
- Renters
- 28.6%27 of 87
- Bachelor's or higher
- 21.8%43 of 87
- Median age
- 34.084 of 87
- Over 65
- 3.6%87 of 87
- Visible minority
- 25.8%40 of 87
- Immigrants
- 20.0%44 of 87
- Indigenous identity
- 12.5%9 of 87
- Unemployment
- 8.0%85 of 87
Statistics Canada did not complete the 2021 count on reserves in this division (Thabacha Náre Indian Reserve No. 196A; Thebathi Indian Reserve No. 196), so its population and Indigenous share are undercounts.
Closest races, North
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.