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NorthSafeRural

Central Peace-Notley

MLA: Todd Loewen · United Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

United Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • United Conservative · 71.9% projected vote>99%

2023 result

  • Todd Loewen · United Conservativeelected9,28077.7%
  • Megan Ciurysek · Alberta NDP2,21618.6%
  • Rodney Bowen · Other2382.0%
  • Lynn Lekisch · Progressive Tory1661.4%
  • Nancy O'Neill · Other460.4%
Margin
59.1%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
61.6%
Registered
19,380

2019 result

  • Todd Loewen · United Conservativeelected10,68075.2%
  • Marg McCuaig-Boyd · Alberta NDP2,77019.5%
  • Travis McKim · Progressive Tory6514.6%
  • Wayne F. Meyer · Liberal1060.8%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$80,00070 of 87
Average rent
$1,00385 of 87
Renters
17.9%69 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
8.1%87 of 87
Median age
41.028 of 87
Over 65
18.7%18 of 87
Visible minority
4.8%81 of 87
Immigrants
6.2%85 of 87
Indigenous identity
15.4%7 of 87
Unemployment
9.4%73 of 87

Closest races, North

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.