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SouthSafeRural

Cardston-Siksika

MLA: Joseph Schow · United Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

United Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • United Conservative · 72.7% projected vote>99%

2023 result

  • Joseph Schow · United Conservativeelected10,55074.1%
  • Colleen Quintal · Alberta NDP2,52717.8%
  • Angela Tabak · Independent8716.1%
  • Terry Wolsey · Other2511.8%
  • Pär Wantenaar · Other350.3%
Margin
56.4%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
55.9%
Registered
25,472

2019 result

  • Joseph Schow · United Conservativeelected11,98073.5%
  • Kirby Smith · Alberta NDP2,60616.0%
  • Ian A Donovan · Independent7274.5%
  • Casey Douglass · Progressive Tory5893.6%
  • Jerry Gautreau · Other2141.3%
  • Cathleen McFarland · Liberal1731.1%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$79,00073 of 87
Average rent
$99286 of 87
Renters
17.4%73 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
12.7%73 of 87
Median age
34.083 of 87
Over 65
16.4%35 of 87
Visible minority
2.9%85 of 87
Immigrants
9.4%69 of 87
Indigenous identity
23.8%4 of 87
Unemployment
9.5%71 of 87

Closest races, South

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.