Lethbridge-West
MLA: Rob Miyashiro · Alberta NDP
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.
Alberta NDP>99% chance of winning
- Alberta NDP · 54.5% projected vote>99%
- United Conservative · 35.4% projected vote<1%
2024 by-election
Shown for the record. The projection starts from the 2023 general election instead; where a by-election changed the seat's party, the new member's personal vote is added to that party.
- Rob Miyashiro · Alberta NDPelected7,23853.4%
- John Middleton-Hope · United Conservative6,09344.9%
- Layton Veverka · Progressive Tory2371.8%
2023 result
- Shannon Phillips · Alberta NDPelected12,08253.9%
- Cheryl Seaborn · United Conservative9,52542.5%
- Braham Luddu · Progressive Tory4251.9%
- Pat Chizek · Liberal3751.7%
- Margin
- 11.4%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 61.1%
- Registered
- 36,642
2019 result
- Shannon Phillips · Alberta NDPelected11,01645.2%
- Karri Flatla · United Conservative10,79044.3%
- Zac Rhodenizer · Progressive Tory1,7637.2%
- Pat Chizek · Liberal4601.9%
- Ben Maddison · Other3321.4%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.
- Median household income
- $85,00063 of 87
- Average rent
- $1,18966 of 87
- Renters
- 34.7%20 of 87
- Bachelor's or higher
- 26.4%35 of 87
- Median age
- 35.078 of 87
- Over 65
- 14.2%52 of 87
- Visible minority
- 14.8%55 of 87
- Immigrants
- 13.5%58 of 87
- Indigenous identity
- 7.1%26 of 87
- Unemployment
- 9.7%69 of 87
Closest races, South
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.