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SouthSwingUrban

Lethbridge-East

MLA: Nathan Neudorf · United Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

Alberta NDP74% chance of winning

  • Alberta NDP · 48.0% projected vote74%
  • United Conservative · 43.1% projected vote26%

2023 result

  • Nathan Neudorf · United Conservativeelected10,99850.3%
  • Rob Miyashiro · Alberta NDP10,36247.4%
  • Helen McMenamin · Liberal4882.2%
Margin
2.9%
Tier
Toss-up
Turnout
61.5%
Registered
35,495

2019 result

  • Nathan Neudorf · United Conservativeelected11,88352.4%
  • Maria Fitzpatrick · Alberta NDP8,77538.7%
  • Ally Taylor · Progressive Tory1,0544.7%
  • Devon Hargreaves · Liberal5122.3%
  • John W. McCanna · Other4532.0%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$79,50071 of 87
Average rent
$1,15970 of 87
Renters
28.8%26 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
18.1%55 of 87
Median age
42.020 of 87
Over 65
22.3%5 of 87
Visible minority
17.8%49 of 87
Immigrants
16.7%53 of 87
Indigenous identity
6.2%36 of 87
Unemployment
9.1%77 of 87

Closest races, South

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.