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SouthSafeRural
Cypress-Medicine Hat
MLA: Justin Wright · United Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.
United Conservative>99% chance of winning
- United Conservative · 56.0% projected vote>99%
- Alberta NDP · 37.0% projected vote1%
2023 result
- Justin Wright · United Conservativeelected13,48961.9%
- Cathy Hogg · Alberta NDP7,69735.3%
- Matt Orr · Other3221.5%
- Cody Ray Both · Other2871.3%
- Margin
- 26.6%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 57.3%
- Registered
- 38,036
2019 result
- Drew Barnes · United Conservativeelected16,48367.1%
- Peter Mueller · Alberta NDP6,39626.0%
- Colette Smithers · Progressive Tory1,1224.6%
- Terry Blacquier · Other3591.5%
- Anwar Kamaran · Liberal2190.9%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.
- Median household income
- $79,00074 of 87
- Average rent
- $1,10179 of 87
- Renters
- 27.2%32 of 87
- Bachelor's or higher
- 14.4%61 of 87
- Median age
- 42.018 of 87
- Over 65
- 20.1%12 of 87
- Visible minority
- 9.1%63 of 87
- Immigrants
- 10.1%65 of 87
- Indigenous identity
- 5.3%44 of 87
- Unemployment
- 11.5%44 of 87
Closest races, South
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.