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CentralSafeRural

Lacombe-Ponoka

MLA: Jennifer Johnson · United Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

United Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • United Conservative · 61.7% projected vote>99%

2023 result

  • Jennifer Johnson · United Conservativeelected14,32467.6%
  • Dave Dale · Alberta NDP4,99523.6%
  • Myles Chykerda · Progressive Tory1,1675.5%
  • Daniel Jefferies · Other4442.1%
  • Taylor Lowery · Green1960.9%
  • Nathan Leslie · Other740.3%
Margin
44.0%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
61.5%
Registered
34,495

2019 result

  • Ron Orr · United Conservativeelected17,37971.3%
  • Doug Hart · Alberta NDP3,63914.9%
  • Myles Chykerda · Progressive Tory2,52010.3%
  • Keith Parrill · Other3281.4%
  • Tessa Szwagierczak · Other2791.1%
  • Shawn Tylke · Other2270.9%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$92,00051 of 87
Average rent
$1,25159 of 87
Renters
21.9%52 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
13.3%66 of 87
Median age
38.053 of 87
Over 65
16.1%36 of 87
Visible minority
7.0%72 of 87
Immigrants
9.2%70 of 87
Indigenous identity
6.3%34 of 87
Unemployment
10.5%61 of 87

Closest races, Central

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.