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CentralSafeRural

Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills

MLA: Tara Sawyer · United Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

United Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • United Conservative · 72.1% projected vote>99%

2025 by-election

Shown for the record. The projection starts from the 2023 general election instead; where a by-election changed the seat's party, the new member's personal vote is added to that party.

  • Tara Sawyer · United Conservativeelected9,36261.1%
  • Bev Toews · Alberta NDP3,06320.0%
  • Cam Davies · Republican2,70817.7%
  • Bill Tufts · Other1891.2%

2023 result

  • Nathan Cooper · United Conservativeelected18,22875.3%
  • Cheryl Hunter Loewen · Alberta NDP4,55318.8%
  • Katherine Kowalchuk · Other1,1404.7%
  • Cam Tatlock · Other1830.8%
  • Judy Bridges · Other1050.4%
Margin
56.5%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
63.4%
Registered
38,173

2019 result

  • Nathan Cooper · United Conservativeelected20,51678.5%
  • Kyle Johnston · Alberta NDP3,07011.8%
  • Chase Brown · Progressive Tory1,7796.8%
  • Allen Maclennan · Other5572.1%
  • Dave Hughes · Other1950.8%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$87,00060 of 87
Average rent
$1,16368 of 87
Renters
19.6%64 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
13.0%68 of 87
Median age
43.014 of 87
Over 65
20.0%13 of 87
Visible minority
5.3%77 of 87
Immigrants
8.1%73 of 87
Indigenous identity
5.1%48 of 87
Unemployment
9.1%79 of 87

Closest races, Central

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.