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Central NorthSafeRural
Vermilion-Lloydminster-Wainwright
MLA: Garth Rowswell · United Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.
United Conservative>99% chance of winning
- United Conservative · 70.3% projected vote>99%
2023 result
- Garth Rowswell · United Conservativeelected13,09774.4%
- Dawn Flaata · Alberta NDP3,07517.5%
- Darrell Dunn · Progressive Tory4752.7%
- Danny Hozack · Other4602.6%
- Matthew Powell · Independent3512.0%
- Tigra-Lee Campbell · Green1460.8%
- Margin
- 56.9%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 54.8%
- Registered
- 32,123
2019 result
- Garth Rowswell · United Conservativeelected19,76878.8%
- Ryan Clarke · Alberta NDP2,4909.9%
- Craig G. Peterson · Progressive Tory1,6156.4%
- Jim McKinnon · Other8983.6%
- Kelly Zeleny · Other1700.7%
- Robert McFadzean · Independent1330.5%
Division at a glance
2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.
- Median household income
- $95,00048 of 87
- Average rent
- $1,11376 of 87
- Renters
- 23.2%45 of 87
- Bachelor's or higher
- 14.8%60 of 87
- Median age
- 39.048 of 87
- Over 65
- 15.6%42 of 87
- Visible minority
- 9.2%62 of 87
- Immigrants
- 8.7%72 of 87
- Indigenous identity
- 8.5%21 of 87
- Unemployment
- 8.7%82 of 87
Closest races, Central North
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.