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Central NorthSafeRural

West Yellowhead

MLA: Martin Long · United Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 2, 2026; the next election is set for October 18, 2027.

United Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • United Conservative · 64.2% projected vote>99%

2023 result

  • Martin Long · United Conservativeelected14,45671.8%
  • Fred Kreiner · Alberta NDP5,67928.2%
Margin
43.6%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
56.7%
Registered
35,526

2019 result

  • Martin Long · United Conservativeelected16,38168.3%
  • Paula Cackett · Alberta NDP4,91220.5%
  • Kristie Gomuwka · Progressive Tory2,0738.7%
  • Paul Lupyczuk · Other2611.1%
  • Travis Poirier · Other2291.0%
  • David Pearce · Independent1230.5%

Division at a glance

2021 Census of Population, from the Government of Alberta's profile of the 87 provincial electoral divisions, which allocates Statistics Canada's counts to each division directly: counts and medians are the census's own, not estimates. Ranks are against all 87 divisions.

Median household income
$101,00037 of 87
Average rent
$1,23563 of 87
Renters
26.7%33 of 87
Bachelor's or higher
11.5%76 of 87
Median age
39.049 of 87
Over 65
13.5%56 of 87
Visible minority
8.8%65 of 87
Immigrants
9.6%66 of 87
Indigenous identity
11.2%13 of 87
Unemployment
11.8%38 of 87

Closest races, Central North

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Alberta. Boundaries and census profile: Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Alberta.