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Vancouver IslandSafeUrban
Esquimalt-Colwood
Incumbent: Darlene Rotchford · BC NDP
Projected winner
Projection as of Oct 11, 2026. Nominations closed Oct 3, 2026.
BC NDP>99% chance of winning
- BC NDP · Darlene Rotchford (incumbent)>99%
- Conservative · Dave Johnston<1%
- BC Green · Sidney Coles
- CentreBC · Sid Tobias
2024 result
- Darlene Rotchfordelected15,23851.5%
- John Wilson8,65229.2%
- Camille Currie5,71619.3%
- Margin
- 22.3%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 63.3%
- Registered
- 46,799
2020 result
Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.
- Mitzi Deanelected13,08449.4%
- Andy MacKinnon5,26419.9%
- RJ Senko3,40612.8%
- Grace Lore2,4229.1%
- Jenn Neilson1,3235.0%
- Karen Bill6612.5%
- Desta McPherson2160.8%
- Jordan Reichert460.2%
- Rob Fleming450.2%
- Annemieke Holthuis230.1%
- David Somerville90.0%
- Jenn Smith10.0%
Who actually voted
2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.
- 18-2455%
- 25-3453%
- 35-4459%
- 45-5463%
- 55-6466%
- 65-7474%
- 75+71%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.
- Median household income
- $86,00047 of 93
- Average rent
- $1,41444 of 93
- Renters
- 40.3%21 of 93
- Bachelor's or higher
- 28.2%39 of 93
- Median age
- 43.636 of 93
- Over 65
- 21.0%34 of 93
- Immigrants
- 15.3%60 of 93
- Visible minority
- 13.1%58 of 93
- Indigenous identity
- 6.3%36 of 93
- Unemployment
- 6.8%83 of 93
Closest races in Vancouver Island
The seats most likely to move with this one.