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Vancouver IslandSafeRural
Powell River-Sunshine Coast
Incumbent: Randene Neill · BC NDP
Projected winner
Projection as of Oct 11, 2026. Nominations closed Oct 3, 2026.
BC NDP92% chance of winning
- BC NDP · Randene Neill (incumbent)92%
- Conservative · John Henderson8%
- BC Green · Griffin Leonard Lea
2024 result
- Randene Neillelected14,47449.6%
- Chris Moore10,40935.7%
- Chris Hergesheimer3,93213.5%
- Greg Reid3561.2%
- Margin
- 13.9%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 66.3%
- Registered
- 44,009
2020 result
Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.
- Nicholas Simonselected12,51448.0%
- Kim Darwin7,97730.6%
- Sandra Stoddart-Hansen4,10115.7%
- Michele Babchuk4121.6%
- Alexandra Morton2641.0%
- Adam Walker2531.0%
- Michelle Stilwell1770.7%
- Norm Facey1680.6%
- Rob Lyon1330.5%
- John Twigg400.1%
- Don Purdey180.1%
- John St John90.0%
Who actually voted
2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.
- 18-2453%
- 25-3448%
- 35-4456%
- 45-5462%
- 55-6468%
- 65-7478%
- 75+74%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.
- Median household income
- $70,00084 of 93
- Average rent
- $1,22172 of 93
- Renters
- 20.7%76 of 93
- Bachelor's or higher
- 21.0%57 of 93
- Median age
- 55.64 of 93
- Over 65
- 32.6%4 of 93
- Immigrants
- 16.3%57 of 93
- Visible minority
- 7.5%71 of 93
- Indigenous identity
- 7.8%21 of 93
- Unemployment
- 8.1%62 of 93
Closest races in Vancouver Island
The seats most likely to move with this one.