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Vancouver IslandLeanUrban
Victoria-Beacon Hill
Incumbent: Grace Lore · BC NDP
Projected winner
Projection as of Oct 11, 2026. Nominations closed Oct 3, 2026.
BC NDP86% chance of winning
- BC NDP · Grace Lore (incumbent)86%
- BC Green · Rajinder S. Sahota14%
- Conservative · Joachim Agou
2024 result
- Grace Loreelected13,63447.4%
- Sonia Furstenau9,64433.5%
- Tim Thielmann5,51419.1%
- Margin
- 13.9%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 65.7%
- Registered
- 43,860
2020 result
Estimated. 2020 was fought on the previous 87-district map, so these votes are transposed onto today's boundaries using Elections BC's voting-area conversion table. A notional baseline, not a count.
- Grace Loreelected13,91053.9%
- Jenn Neilson7,62729.6%
- Karen Bill3,63314.1%
- Jordan Reichert2861.1%
- Mitzi Dean1970.8%
- Andy MacKinnon860.3%
- RJ Senko540.2%
- Desta McPherson40.0%
Who actually voted
2024 turnout by age band. Elections BC publishes this per district; Elections Canada does not, so federal ridings have no equivalent.
- 18-2463%
- 25-3458%
- 35-4462%
- 45-5463%
- 55-6467%
- 65-7475%
- 75+74%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population, published by Statistics Canada directly on these boundaries — nothing here is interpolated from a different map. Ranks are against all 93 districts.
- Median household income
- $64,00092 of 93
- Average rent
- $1,38850 of 93
- Renters
- 65.0%3 of 93
- Bachelor's or higher
- 44.1%9 of 93
- Median age
- 43.238 of 93
- Over 65
- 24.6%22 of 93
- Immigrants
- 20.2%51 of 93
- Visible minority
- 15.9%54 of 93
- Indigenous identity
- 4.6%48 of 93
- Unemployment
- 8.2%58 of 93
Closest races in Vancouver Island
The seats most likely to move with this one.