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LabradorToss-upRural

Labrador West

MHA: Joseph Power · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 9, 2029, or Monday, November 26 if it would overlap the federal election.

Liberal50% chance of winning

  • Liberal · 35.6% projected vote50%
  • Progressive Conservative · 34.9% projected vote43%
  • NL NDP · 29.0% projected vote7%

2025 result

  • Joseph Power · Progressive Conservativeelected1,63947.3%
  • Todd Seward · Liberal1,36439.3%
  • Shazia Razi · NL NDP46413.4%
Margin
7.9%
Tier
Swing
Turnout
54.7%
Registered
6,337

2021 result

The pandemic election: in-person voting on polling day was cancelled the day before, so apart from the advance polls the vote was by mail, and the results were announced on March 27, 2021.

  • Jordan Brown · NL NDPelected1,35950.0%
  • Wayne Button · Liberal78028.7%
  • Nick McGrath · Progressive Conservative57721.2%

2019 result

  • Jordan Brown · NL NDPelected1,36642.2%
  • Graham Letto · Liberal1,36142.1%
  • Derick Sharron · Progressive Conservative50815.7%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 40 districts.

Median household income
$147,5001 of 40
Average rent
$94813 of 40
Renters
21.6%16 of 40
Bachelor's or higher
12.9%18 of 40
Median age
38.138 of 40
Over 65
11.3%39 of 40
Visible minority
6.4%7 of 40
Immigrants
5.3%6 of 40
Indigenous identity
10.5%10 of 40
Unemployment
5.2%40 of 40

Closest races, Labrador

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.