Lake Melville
MHA: Keith Russell · Independent
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 9, 2029, or Monday, November 26 if it would overlap the federal election.
Liberal59% chance of winning
- Liberal · 37.3% projected vote59%
- Progressive Conservative · 31.6% projected vote35%
- Independent · 12.0% projected vote5%
2025 result
- Keith Russell · Progressive Conservativeelected1,71855.4%
- Shaun Maclean · Liberal1,28041.3%
- Jamie Ruby · NL NDP1023.3%
- Margin
- 14.1%
- Tier
- Lean
- Turnout
- 45.5%
- Registered
- 6,821
2021 result
The pandemic election: in-person voting on polling day was cancelled the day before, so apart from the advance polls the vote was by mail, and the results were announced on March 27, 2021.
- Perry Trimper · Independentelected1,14349.9%
- Shannon John Tobin · Progressive Conservative54723.9%
- Michelle Baikie · Liberal30613.3%
- Amy Norman · NL NDP27912.2%
- Andrew T. Abbass · Independent170.7%
2019 result
- Perry Trimper · Liberalelected1,51745.8%
- Shannon John Tobin · Progressive Conservative1,18935.9%
- Jim Learning · Independent60318.2%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 40 districts.
- Median household income
- $107,0003 of 40
- Average rent
- $88219 of 40
- Renters
- 35.2%6 of 40
- Bachelor's or higher
- 15.4%16 of 40
- Median age
- 38.337 of 40
- Over 65
- 12.3%37 of 40
- Visible minority
- 5.8%8 of 40
- Immigrants
- 5.3%7 of 40
- Indigenous identity
- 53.5%3 of 40
- Unemployment
- 10.7%32 of 40
Closest races, Labrador
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.