Districts
All 40 provincial electoral districts. Each row shows who is projected to win it and with what confidence; the 2025 margin follows.
Projected on the 40 districts of the 2015 map, on which the 2015, 2019, 2021 and 2025 elections were fought. The Electoral Boundaries Act calls for a commission in 2026 to redraw the 40 districts, so the next election will probably be fought on new lines.
Northeast Avalon–St. John's 14 seats
- Cape St. FrancisJoedy Wall · Progressive ConservativePC83%14.9%Lean
- Conception Bay East–Bell IslandFred Hutton · LiberalLiberal>99%22.2%Safe
- Conception Bay SouthBarry Calvin Petten · Progressive ConservativePC93%18.8%Safe
- FerrylandLoyola O'Driscoll · Progressive ConservativePC52%9.1%Toss-up
- Mount Pearl NorthLucy S. Stoyles · LiberalLiberal>99%25.1%Safe
- Mount Pearl–SouthlandsPaul Lane · IndependentIndependent>99%28.3%Safe
- Mount ScioSarah Stoodley · LiberalLiberal90%10.5%Safe
- St. John's CentreJim Dinn · NL NDPNDP>99%36.2%Safe
- St. John's East–Quidi VidiSheilagh O'Leary · NL NDPNDP>99%7.4%Safe
- St. John's WestKeith White · LiberalLiberal>99%20.1%Safe
- Topsail–ParadisePaul Dinn · Progressive ConservativeLiberalflip85%1.7%Lean
- Virginia Waters–PleasantvilleBernard Davis · LiberalLiberal>99%42.1%Safe
- Waterford ValleyJamie Korab · LiberalLiberal64%19.8%Swing
- Windsor LakeJohn Hogan · LiberalLiberal>99%48.0%Safe
Avalon–Burin 6 seats
- Burin–Grand BankPaul A. Pike · LiberalLiberal92%1.1%Safe
- Carbonear–Trinity–Bay de VerdeRiley Balsom · Progressive ConservativeLiberalflip67%5.4%Swing
- Harbour Grace–Port de GravePam Parsons · LiberalLiberal>99%23.8%Safe
- Harbour MainHelen Conway Ottenheimer · Progressive ConservativePC>99%27.6%Safe
- Placentia West–BellevueJeff Dwyer · Progressive ConservativeLiberalflip86%1.1%Lean
- Placentia–St. Mary'sSherry Gambin-Walsh · LiberalLiberal>99%8.4%Safe
Central Newfoundland–Bonavista 9 seats
- Baie Verte–Green BayLin Paddock · Progressive ConservativePC>99%53.7%Safe
- BonavistaCraig Pardy · Progressive ConservativePC>99%48.9%Safe
- ExploitsPleaman Forsey · Progressive ConservativePC99%24.8%Safe
- Fogo Island–Cape FreelsJim McKenna · Progressive ConservativeLiberalflip53%7.8%Toss-up
- Fortune Bay–Cape La HuneElvis Loveless · LiberalLiberal>99%33.7%Safe
- GanderBettina Ford · LiberalLiberal>99%19.2%Safe
- Grand Falls-Windsor–BuchansChris Tibbs · Progressive ConservativePC97%21.9%Safe
- Lewisporte–TwillingateMark Butt · Progressive ConservativeLiberalflip89%0.3%Lean
- Terra NovaLloyd Parrott · Progressive ConservativePC>99%37.4%Safe
Western Newfoundland–Northern Peninsula 7 seats
- Burgeo–La PoileMichael A. King · LiberalLiberal>99%22.2%Safe
- Corner BrookJim Parsons · LiberalLiberal>99%22.5%Safe
- Humber–Bay of IslandsEddie Joyce · IndependentIndependent>99%56.7%Safe
- Humber–Gros MorneMike Goosney · Progressive ConservativePC96%20.6%Safe
- St. Barbe–L'Anse aux MeadowsAndrea Barbour · Progressive ConservativePC72%12.7%Swing
- St. George's–HumberHal Cormier · Progressive ConservativeLiberalflip68%5.4%Swing
- Stephenville–Port au PortTony Wakeham · Progressive ConservativePC>99%55.4%Safe
Labrador 4 seats
Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador.