Baie Verte–Green Bay
MHA: Lin Paddock · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 9, 2029, or Monday, November 26 if it would overlap the federal election.
Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 62.1% projected vote>99%
2025 result
- Lin Paddock · Progressive Conservativeelected3,64374.4%
- Owen J. Burt · Liberal1,01320.7%
- Sarah Hillier · NL NDP2394.9%
- Margin
- 53.7%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 50.2%
- Registered
- 9,745
2021 result
The pandemic election: in-person voting on polling day was cancelled the day before, so apart from the advance polls the vote was by mail, and the results were announced on March 27, 2021.
- Brian Warr · Liberalelected2,15852.1%
- Lin Paddock · Progressive Conservative1,98747.9%
2019 result
- Brian Warr · Liberalelected2,80949.7%
- Neville Robinson · Progressive Conservative1,87233.1%
- Ben Callahan · NL Alliance96817.1%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 40 districts.
- Median household income
- $62,00028 of 40
- Average rent
- $73131 of 40
- Renters
- 15.5%28 of 40
- Bachelor's or higher
- 6.3%34 of 40
- Median age
- 54.511 of 40
- Over 65
- 29.2%12 of 40
- Visible minority
- 0.2%33 of 40
- Immigrants
- 0.3%37 of 40
- Indigenous identity
- 2.7%27 of 40
- Unemployment
- 22.7%6 of 40
Closest races, Central Newfoundland–Bonavista
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.