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Central Newfoundland–BonavistaLeanRural

Lewisporte–Twillingate

MHA: Mark Butt · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 9, 2029, or Monday, November 26 if it would overlap the federal election.

Liberal89% chance of winning

  • Liberal · 45.4% projected vote89%
  • Progressive Conservative · 37.1% projected vote11%

2025 result

  • Mark Butt · Progressive Conservativeelected2,57049.3%
  • Derek J. Bennett · Liberal2,55249.0%
  • Steven Kent · NL NDP761.5%
  • Stacy D. Coish · Independent150.3%
Margin
0.3%
Tier
Toss-up
Turnout
53.2%
Registered
9,795

2021 result

The pandemic election: in-person voting on polling day was cancelled the day before, so apart from the advance polls the vote was by mail, and the results were announced on March 27, 2021.

  • Derek J. Bennett · Liberalelected2,59362.4%
  • Rhonda Lee Simms · Progressive Conservative1,56037.6%

2019 result

  • Derek John Bennett · Liberalelected3,19054.0%
  • Krista Freake · Progressive Conservative2,71746.0%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 40 districts.

Median household income
$56,00037 of 40
Average rent
$74530 of 40
Renters
16.6%24 of 40
Bachelor's or higher
6.1%35 of 40
Median age
56.33 of 40
Over 65
34.2%1 of 40
Visible minority
0.0%40 of 40
Immigrants
0.1%40 of 40
Indigenous identity
3.5%20 of 40
Unemployment
24.7%4 of 40

Closest races, Central Newfoundland–Bonavista

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.