Grand Falls-Windsor–Buchans
MHA: Chris Tibbs · Progressive Conservative
Projected winner
If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 9, 2029, or Monday, November 26 if it would overlap the federal election.
Progressive Conservative97% chance of winning
- Progressive Conservative · 46.6% projected vote97%
- Liberal · 33.4% projected vote3%
2025 result
- Chris Tibbs · Progressive Conservativeelected3,40859.0%
- Barry Manuel · Liberal2,14437.1%
- Liz Noseworthy · NL NDP2294.0%
- Margin
- 21.9%
- Tier
- Safe
- Turnout
- 57.2%
- Registered
- 10,099
2021 result
The pandemic election: in-person voting on polling day was cancelled the day before, so apart from the advance polls the vote was by mail, and the results were announced on March 27, 2021.
- Chris Tibbs · Progressive Conservativeelected2,73559.2%
- Debbie Ball · Liberal1,77638.5%
- Holly Pike · NL NDP1062.3%
2019 result
- Chris Tibbs · Progressive Conservativeelected2,93553.2%
- Al Hawkins · Liberal2,58646.8%
District at a glance
2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 40 districts.
- Median household income
- $60,50032 of 40
- Average rent
- $83323 of 40
- Renters
- 30.9%13 of 40
- Bachelor's or higher
- 11.4%21 of 40
- Median age
- 51.119 of 40
- Over 65
- 27.1%15 of 40
- Visible minority
- 2.1%12 of 40
- Immigrants
- 1.6%16 of 40
- Indigenous identity
- 6.6%14 of 40
- Unemployment
- 17.4%20 of 40
Closest races, Central Newfoundland–Bonavista
The seats most likely to move with this one.
Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.