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Central Newfoundland–BonavistaSafeRural

Bonavista

MHA: Craig Pardy · Progressive Conservative

Projected winner

If an election were held today. Projection as of Nov 3, 2026; the next election is set for Tuesday, October 9, 2029, or Monday, November 26 if it would overlap the federal election.

Progressive Conservative>99% chance of winning

  • Progressive Conservative · 59.3% projected vote>99%

2025 result

  • Craig Pardy · Progressive Conservativeelected3,26071.7%
  • Heather Matthews · Liberal1,03722.8%
  • David Ellis · NL NDP2535.6%
Margin
48.9%
Tier
Safe
Turnout
52.6%
Registered
8,654

2021 result

The pandemic election: in-person voting on polling day was cancelled the day before, so apart from the advance polls the vote was by mail, and the results were announced on March 27, 2021.

  • Craig Pardy · Progressive Conservativeelected2,11757.3%
  • Christine Gill · Liberal94425.6%
  • Neil E.J. King · Independent56215.2%
  • Timothy V. Whey · NL NDP701.9%

2019 result

  • Craig Pardy · Progressive Conservativeelected2,61150.4%
  • Neil King · Liberal2,56649.6%

District at a glance

2021 Census of Population. Statistics Canada publishes no profile on Newfoundland and Labrador's provincial districts, so these are built from the dissemination areas inside each one, an area crossed by a boundary divided by where its people live: counts are weighted sums, medians are estimates. Ranks are against all 40 districts.

Median household income
$55,00038 of 40
Average rent
$72033 of 40
Renters
15.2%30 of 40
Bachelor's or higher
6.7%32 of 40
Median age
55.94 of 40
Over 65
30.4%9 of 40
Visible minority
0.0%37 of 40
Immigrants
0.7%32 of 40
Indigenous identity
1.4%39 of 40
Unemployment
21.4%8 of 40

Closest races, Central Newfoundland–Bonavista

The seats most likely to move with this one.

Results: Elections Newfoundland and Labrador. Boundaries: contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence – Newfoundland and Labrador. Census profile: Statistics Canada, 2021 Census of Population, combined into districts by NorthernVibe.